I keep listening to channels of Russian dissidents; the somber view from within Russia is that sanctions will be nothing short of devastating and there is non-zero chance of “iron curtain” to block flight of talent. I keep listening to the channels of Ukrainian politicians, the view is that Putin lost the strategic war and soon to lose tactical war; Kiev could not be taken with what troops and equipment Putin has and as casualties on Russian side mount (and they are catastrophic) and West keep supplying arms, it is only a matter of time until there is complete collapse of Russian invasion.

I think Finnish War scenario is highly probable at this point.

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