I wonder how well Ukraine will hold up. I've tried to get a sense of it, but found it impossible. Russia obviously has the initiative and generally superior air and armor, but holding onto gains should prove rather uncomfortable for them if Ukrainian morale holds up as the West will likely continue to supply them with armaments and such. I have no idea if it will.

For who could be free when every other man's humour might domineer over him? - John Locke (2nd Treatise, sect 57)