My view is that Ukrainian military will do about as well against Russia as Saddam’s army did against USA. I think Ukrainians are motivated to fight and the population is generally armed, so Russian invaders will have to go through urban combat phase and will face partisans if they attempt to hold territory outside of East Ukraine.

I think the question at this point is how much of Ukraine Putin wants to control and how much bloodshed he is willing to inflict on the uncooperative population.

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