As of 3/2/2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine is unmitigated military and economical disaster for Putin.

Sanctions imposed on Russia exceeded anyone's expectation - the combination of tone-deaf “we are fighting Nazis” Russian propaganda and charismatic Zelenskyy (Ukrainian president) rallied the world against Putin. While this is unexpected, such scenario isn’t impossible.

What is absolutely bewilderedly improbable is how successful Ukrainian military and national guard in stopping Russian military. Russia still does not have air superiority. Russia yet to capture any of the initial objectives. There are reports that Russians are surrendering in significant numbers.
What is going on? Did Russian Military Command rebelled and intentionally sabotaging this invasion? How is it possible that the invasion so catastrophically incompetent?

Last but not least, what is the off-ramp for Putin? He must realize that his regime is now in danger, as failure of this magnitude will result in internal challenges to his rule.

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