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Originally Posted By: Sini
Yes Hele, I clearly fabricated entire thing - the research, the poor... It was all a UN conspiracy, but now that you have seen through it we have no choice but to bring in the black helicopters.


You are dense.

You changed what Kaotic said, incase you still don't understand.

foil foil foil foil
4 for being crazy.

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Originally Posted By: Sini
Originally Posted By: Derid
Sayeth the Pot to the Kettle.


False equivalence. Not that I expect you to pay any attention to inconvenient facts and hold your side in any way accountable/anchored in reality. Your side is 1 inch away from starting to claim that Romney did win after all.


It is what it is, and I have never known you to pay much attention to inconvenient facts.

Your obsession with "sides" is starting to get boring as well.


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Originally Posted By: Helemoto

You changed what Kaotic said, incase you still don't understand.


Here is what exactly he said:

Originally Posted By: Kaotic
I can't be bothered to look at your "facts".


Considering that I am not the author, acknowledged or was in any way involved in the production of the peer-review papers I linked they are not MY facts. They are just facts.

As such, quoting it:
Originally Posted By: Kaotic
I can't be bothered to look at "facts".


this way is accurate.


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Originally Posted By: Derid
Your obsession with "sides" is starting to get boring as well.


I am just being polite. What I really think is....

Last edited by Sini; 11/10/13 01:49 PM.

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There were no relevant facts in the links you posted. Thus the quotation marks. Your links, like nearly all of the ones you post, are merely conjecture based on belief.

I'm sure Derid's offer of a copy of Resetta Stone English is still good if you decide you'd like to try and learn the language.


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Originally Posted By: Sini

You can believe what you want. The difference between you and me is that you prefer believes and I prefer facts.

http://works.bepress.com/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1052&context=john_donohue [pdf]


I will hold your hand while we read one of the papers I linked together.

Title: "Allocating Resources Among Prisons and Social Programs in the Battle Against Crime."

Published in 1998, so not too long ago that you can claim drastic social changes made it irrelevant. Published in "The Journal of Legal Studies" from University of Chicago Law School. ResearchGate tells us the journals impact factor is 1.35, this is low enough that you can question its peer-review process, but this journal is legitimate publication avenue. Authors of this paper are from Stanford Law and Yale Law, so as ivory as it gets. These people clearly would have a reputation to protect.

Abstract says:

Quote:
This article evaluates the cost and crime-reducing potential of prisons and social spending, setting forth the conditions under which a shift in resources from an expanding prison population into social spending would lead to a reduction in total crime.


On incarceration the article says:

Quote:
Today, the prison population is well over 1 million. This level of incarceration is unprecedented in this country's history and throughout the world today.

Since 1974, however, the incarceration rate has risen dramatically, with no evidence of any slowdown. The current rate of growth requires the equivalent of almost two new 1,000-inmate prisons to open every week.


Very damning. We have incarceration problem in USA, and it is getting worse. Too many people in prisons. US population is ether bloodthirsty savages and scoundrels when compared to the rest of the world, or we have too many people incarcerated that don't belong in jail.

The article on costs of incarceration:

Quote:
...these studies have estimated the annual cost of locking up an inmate (in 1993 dollars) to be $25,000 $32,000 and $45,000.


That is 1993 dollars, so you have to adjust for inflation to get 2013 number. So it costs more today. $30K in 1993 would be equal to $45K today adjusted for inflation.

Then the paper goes on to talk about lost of wages, cost on family, impact on productivity after release and so on. They don't attach solid number on this, but we can easily conclude that whatever this number is, it will adjust $45K cost upward.

Interesting bit:

Quote:
The successful experimental programs produced lasting gains in socialization (for example, getting along with classmates, fighting), school functioning (attendance, need for special education, repeating a year of school), self-esteem, and family functioning. Unfortunately, they did not seem to produce lasting improvements in IQ or other measures of cognitive functioning.


They didn't because a lot of it is genetics. So is violent tendencies. Apparently so is tendency to become conservative at some point in life, but if you ask me that is more likely a result of a brain infection. One day we might even develop a vaccine.

Lots of other interesting stuff in the paper, but lets skip to the conclusion:

Quote:
Rather, our point is simply that there may be scope for welfare-increasing large-scale interventions and that society should begin the process of trying to see whether such interventions can actually be carried out on a meaningful scale, rather than unthinkingly committing itself to a policy of massive prison construction without a full awareness of all
of its attendant financial and human costs.


So conclusions says that based on small scale social programs, we can reduce criminality and incarceration. If programs scale, we will have huge social benefit and cost savings. If they don't scale, then we will still can come out ahead because how damn expensive it is to incarcerate so many people at ever-increasing rate. I mean, Stalin with Gulags had nothing on US penal system.

Here you go.


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Drug war responsible for a great portion of penal populace. Cutting food stamps drastically and suddenly would likely have a negative effect. In the grand scheme, the cuts currently implemented give no reason based on available data to suspect drastic increase in criminality as a result. Not that I would have endorsed cutting the program.

But anyhow, as I said previously - Dems cut the program. They wanted FLOTUS school "obesity" program. Maybe you should have linked the study for Mrs Obama, and explained to her that cutting an established program that is relatively effective for a govt program in favor of unproven pet vanity pork projects is not such a good idea.

Because cutting it (or letting the extensions expire, w/e) apparently was on their agenda. The fact that your "side" (as you view things) can be counted on to articulate one philosophy, and govern via another just does not seem to phase you.


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Originally Posted By: Sini
Originally Posted By: Derid
Your obsession with "sides" is starting to get boring as well.


I am just being polite. What I really think is....


Running in same circle gets old. I think everyone gets it, if there was ever anything to get. People who hold {x,y,...} views are seen by you as one cogent group, that you inartfully articulate here as a "side". Obviously I think your grouping criteria are silly but /shrug

For the sake of not seeing the 1000th minor variation of the same argument, lets find some variety k? thnx.


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Meanwhile Sweden closes prisons due to lack of prisoners

Quote:
The US has a prison population of 2,239,751, equivalent to 716 people per 100,000. China ranks second with 1,640,000 people behind bars, or 121 people per 100,000, while Russia's inmates are 681,600, amounting to 475 individuals per 100,000.


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So what argument are you trying to make? After reading the article, it looks like your saying "Ok, yeah what Derid said". But that wouldnt be in character.


For who could be free when every other man's humour might domineer over him? - John Locke (2nd Treatise, sect 57)
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